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Further ONS Construction Output data for Q4 2009 released this morning continues to highlight the ongoing strain on the hard pressed construction sector
Total output in the industry is now estimated to have declined by 1.1% in the fourth quarter of last year compared with the previous estimate of a drop of 0.9%.
This report shows that the strongest contributions came from those areas most closely aligned to the public sector, something mirrored in our own construction survey; however comments from our members point towards a faltering in the capital spending programmes as we approach the general election.
With the more subdued trend in private sector workloads this casts some doubt on just how sustainable any improvement in the construction sector is likely to prove as attention turns to scaling back the budget deficit in the wake of the general election.
Significantly, the latest RICS Construction Survey suggests that over the next twelve months output is likely to be broadly flat.
Simon Rubinsohn is RICS Chief Economist
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